Cheektowaga, New York 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

931
FXUS61 KBUF 222201
AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
601 PM EDT Wed Apr 22 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes with this forecast update.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Wet weather returns Friday night and Saturday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Wet weather returns Friday night and Saturday.

A shortwave and a weak surface low tracking along a frontal boundary
will bring the next chance for rain and showers Friday night and
Saturday. Blended guidance continuing to suggest the greatest
coverage will be across western New York, especially areas south of
the NYS Thruway. At this point, rainfall amounts look to be 0.50-
0.75 south of Lake Ontario, tapering to a tenth of an inch or less
across the North Country.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
For the 00Z TAFS VFR flight conditions are found and these
flight conditons will continue through the TAF cycle with a
light wind as surface high pressure slowly nears the eastern
Great Lakes.

Outlook...

Thursday night...VFR, with increasing upper level cloud cover.

Friday...Mainly VFR with a low chance of afternoon showers.

Saturday...VFR/MVFR with scattered to numerous showers.

Sunday...Mainly VFR with a low chance of showers.

Monday...Mainly VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
Weak high pressure across the lower Great Lakes will support light
winds and minimal wave action through Thursday.

A tightening gradient and strengthening east-northeast winds Friday
and Friday night will support a light to moderate chop on the west
end of Lake Ontario. Winds strengthen to around 20 knots Saturday on
the west end of Lake Ontario with wave heights nearing 5 feet,
especially in the open waters near and beyond 5 nm from shore. A
period of small craft headlines may be needed on the west end of
Lake Ontario nearshore waters during this time.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...TMA
AVIATION...Thomas
MARINE...TMA