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Cheektowaga, New York 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Cheektowaga NY
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Cheektowaga NY
Issued by: National Weather Service Buffalo, NY |
| Updated: 9:58 pm EST Feb 26, 2026 |
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Overnight
 Partly Cloudy
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Friday
 Mostly Sunny
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Friday Night
 Partly Cloudy then Slight Chance Showers
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Saturday
 Partly Sunny
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Saturday Night
 Snow Showers Likely
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Sunday
 Slight Chance Snow Showers
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Sunday Night
 Mostly Cloudy
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Monday
 Mostly Sunny
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Monday Night
 Mostly Clear
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| Lo 18 °F |
Hi 45 °F |
Lo 42 °F |
Hi 40 °F |
Lo 19 °F |
Hi 22 °F |
Lo 10 °F |
Hi 27 °F |
Lo 15 °F |
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Overnight
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 18. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph. |
Friday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 45. Southwest wind 7 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. |
Friday Night
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A slight chance of showers after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 42. South wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
Saturday
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Partly sunny, with a high near 40. West wind 7 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. |
Saturday Night
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Snow showers likely, mainly after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 19. North wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Sunday
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A slight chance of snow showers before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 22. Northwest wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
Sunday Night
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Mostly cloudy, with a low around 10. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. |
Monday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 27. Calm wind becoming west around 6 mph in the afternoon. |
Monday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 15. |
Tuesday
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Partly sunny, with a high near 41. |
Tuesday Night
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A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Wednesday
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A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 44. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Wednesday Night
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A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. Chance of precipitation is 40%. |
Thursday
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Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 48. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Cheektowaga NY.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
356
FXUS61 KBUF 261835
AFDBUF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
135 PM EST Thu Feb 26 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes at this time.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Short lived dry conditions to end the week with milder
weather Friday.
2) Turning colder Saturday night through early next week before a
more active, but milder pattern arrives the middle of next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Short lived dry conditions to end the week with
milder weather Friday.
Surface high pressure overhead today will continue to see clearing
skies headed into late this afternoon and Thursday night with any
lingering snow showers diminishing this afternoon. Afternoon
temperatures Friday will aim to be 10-15 degF warmer than Thursday.
These milder conditions will come to an end with a cold frontal
passage Saturday associated with a system passing into northern
Quebec that will also bring scattered rain showers (high elevation
snow showers) to western and north-central NY. Current hi-res
guidance suggests prefrontal showers in the morning with a cold
frontal passage in the early afternoon that will likely limit maxTs
for Saturday.
KEY MESSAGE 2...Turning colder Saturday night through early next week
before a more active, but milder pattern arrives the middle of next
week.
Behind the frontal passage earlier on Saturday, colder air will
continue to spread across western NY overnight into Sunday.
Additionally, a progressive shortwave passage just to the north
within the broader scale troughing pattern will help to enhance the
trailing frontal boundary aloft leading to a quick round of light
snowfall. Accumulations will be on the lighter side with latest NBM
probability of exceeding 2" of accumulation only reaching 30%. The
main focus area will be across the western Southern Tier Saturday
night into early Sunday.
Grand ensemble members have continued to trend slightly drier and
become better aligned for the start of next week with a stronger and
more expansive area of high pressure over the lower Great Lakes into
the northeast. However, this trend ensures a colder start to the
week with 850mb temps in the -15 to -20 degC range approaching the
climatological 10th percentile for early March. This cold looks to
stick around until this surface high begins to move off the coast
Tuesday with southerly low-level flow kickstarting a warming trend
for the middle of next week. This warming trend to milder conditions
for the remainder of the week will also bring an active pattern of
multiple chances for precipitation with numerous shortwave passages
ejecting out of the central CONUS. As of right now, ptype looks to
be primarily rainfall based on the track of the these systems into
the upper Great Lakes, but plenty of uncertainty still remains.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Overall confidence is fairly high for favorable flight conditions
through most, if not all of the 18Z TAF period. Mainly low VFR CIGS
with some isolated MVFR CIGS will erode from southwest to northeast
through the remainder of the afternoon as high pressure and
associated drier air/subsidence builds across the area from the west.
High pressure crosses over the area tonight, then slides east into
New England Friday morning with VFR flight conditions expected to
prevail through the period. Otherwise, a weakening disturbance
passing by to the north will produce some extra clouds from the
Niagara Frontier to the North Country, however as mentioned above,
any CIGS are expected to remain VFR. Some low VFR CIGS will be
possible across the North Country (KART) second half of tonight
through Friday morning.
Winds will be mainly light through much of the TAF period, before
slowly increasing through the first half of Friday.
Outlook...
Friday afternoon through Saturday...Mainly VFR.
Saturday night...Areas of IFR with light snow likely.
Sunday...Areas of MVFR with a few light snow showers possible.
Monday and Tuesday...Mainly VFR.
&&
.MARINE...
The next period of stronger winds and Small Craft Advisory
conditions will arrive Friday night and last through Saturday as
a cold front crosses the lower Great Lakes.
Please note...most, if not all of the Lake Erie nearshore waters
continue to be ice covered. Waves have been omitted from the
forecast.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...None.
MARINE...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Brothers
AVIATION...JM
MARINE...Hitchcock
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