Cheektowaga, New York 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

936
FXUS61 KBUF 190002
AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
802 PM EDT Wed Mar 18 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes with this issuance.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) A few systems will bring periodic chances for some rain/snow
later this week and weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...A few systems will bring periodic chances for some
rain/snow later this week and weekend.

A strong ridge of high pressure will persist across the southwest
CONUS into the weekend before the ridge flattens out by early next
week. A mid-level trough will remain across the Northeast with
embedded fast moving shortwaves moving across the forecast area and
bringing chances for rain and snow showers.

The first shortwave will approach the region tonight. This system
will encounter a fair amount of lower level dry air, but still could
support some light snow showers/flurries starting this evening
across western New York as warm advection develops along its eastern
flank. No accumulation is expected through tonight.

A more general low chance of light rain or snow showers is expected
across the area Thursday as the shortwave moves through. The next
embedded wave will to move across the region Friday and Friday
night. Stronger forcing and deeper moisture will support better
chances for measurable precipitation with thermal profiles
suggesting rain showers across western New York and rain and snow
showers east of Lake Ontario.

As the ridge flattens out across the southern CONUS this weekend,
another deeper trough is expected to move into the Great Lakes
region with the potential for cold airmass into early next week.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Ceilings will gradually lower tonight to low-end VFR/MVFR as a warm
front spreads lowering clouds across our region. Some spotty light
snow showers and/or flurries will become possible across far western
New York, however these are not currently expected to produce any
restrictions to visibility.

Outlook...

Thursday and Friday...VFR/MVFR with a few scattered rain or wet snow
showers.

Friday night and Saturday...VFR/MVFR with a chance of rain showers.

Sunday...VFR/MVFR with a chance of rain and snow showers.

Monday...Mainly VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds will remain mostly from a southerly direction tonight and
increase a bit, possibly touching 20 knots across the eastern
portion of Lake Ontario. Winds should back off Thursday, as a warm
frontal boundary lifts through with winds turning more westerly and
lowering to generally 10 knots or less. Generally light winds should
remain through Saturday before a cold front crosses the lower Great
Lakes, with northerly component winds increasing behind it, with
small craft headlines likely being required on Lake Ontario by late
Sunday into Monday.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...HSK/JJR/TMA
AVIATION...TMA
MARINE...TMA