|
Cheektowaga, New York 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
|
NWS Forecast for Cheektowaga NY
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Cheektowaga NY
Issued by: National Weather Service Buffalo, NY |
| Updated: 9:57 am EDT Jun 9, 2026 |
|
Today
Chance
T-storms
|
Tonight
Chance
T-storms then
Chance
Showers
|
Wednesday
Showers
Likely
|
Wednesday
Night
Chance
Showers then
Showers
Likely
|
Thursday
Showers
Likely
|
Thursday
Night
Chance
Showers then
Slight Chance
T-storms
|
Friday
Showers
Likely
|
Friday
Night
Chance
T-storms then
Partly Cloudy
|
Saturday
Sunny
|
| Hi 85 °F |
Lo 66 °F |
Hi 81 °F |
Lo 65 °F |
Hi 85 °F |
Lo 68 °F |
Hi 83 °F |
Lo 61 °F |
Hi 78 °F |
|
Today
|
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 85. West wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Tonight
|
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Wednesday
|
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 81. Southwest wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Wednesday Night
|
A chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Southwest wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Thursday
|
Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 85. Southwest wind 8 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Thursday Night
|
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Southwest wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Friday
|
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 83. Southwest wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. |
Friday Night
|
A chance of thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Southwest wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Saturday
|
Sunny, with a high near 78. |
Saturday Night
|
Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. |
Sunday
|
Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. |
Sunday Night
|
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Monday
|
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 74. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Cheektowaga NY.
|
Weather Forecast Discussion
277
FXUS61 KBUF 090625
AFDBUF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
225 AM EDT Tue Jun 9 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes with this forecast package.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Increasing heat and humidity this week. Heat indices could
reach the mid 90s Thursday and Friday.
2) Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to return mid-
week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Increasing heat and humidity this week. Heat indices
could reach the mid 90s Thursday and Friday.
A ridge axis will move across the forecast area today. Warm
advection within a developing southerly flow will send temperatures
well above normal today with highs in the mid to upper 80s, a few
spot could get to 90F across the lake plains and in the Genesee
Valley and Finger Lakes. Lower temperatures are expected near the
lakeshores.
The warmest days this week appear to be Thursday and Friday as
another ridge builds into the region. 850 mb temperatures climb to
near +18C and with the combination of an increasingly moist airmass,
heat index values could reach in the lower to mid 90s. Heat
headlines are possible for some locations during this time period,
but confidence is lower with the potential for clouds and scattered
convection.
KEY MESSAGE 2...Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to
return mid-week.
A shortwave trough will approach the region with warm, moist air
spreading across the region today and Wednesday, increasing the
potential for showers and thunderstorms. Initially, widely scattered
showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop as increasing
elevated instability moves into western New York today. Dry weather
will likely continue east of Lake Ontario.
A surface trough is expected to move through tonight, further
increasing chances for showers and a few thunderstorms. A weak mid
level disturbance is expected to cross the region Wednesday. Forcing
looks limited with this feature, but will encounter and very warm
and moist airmass leading to widely scattered thunderstorms during
peak heating. Profiles indicated an uptick in shear with a non-
zero risk of strong/severe storms, mainly across the Finger Lakes
and east of Lake Ontario.
A mid-level ridge within in a warm and moist airmass is expected to
build into the region towards the end of the week. Weak impulses
embedded in the flow around the ridge could support showers and
thunderstorms through Friday. The primary impact from any showers or
thunderstorms will be heavy rain, as PWAT values are expected to
exceed 1.5", which is above the 90th percentile for this time of
year. Drier air is expected to move into the region for the start of
the weekend.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Mainly VFR through the 06Z TAF cycle as surface high pressure
settles off the Northeastern coastline.
A weakening shortwave trough will gradually encroach on the Great
Lakes from the west today. Mid/high cloud cover will increase this
morning with a 5-10kt southerly flow, which will likely preclude any
early morning fog development.
The approaching trough may cause widely scattered showers or an
isolated thunderstorm to develop west of KROC before 18z. Brief MVFR
conditions cannot be ruled out in any showers that manage to
develop. Shower/thunderstorm coverage is then expected to increase
and spread eastward into this evening.
Outlook...
Tonight...Mainly VFR deteriorating to MVFR/IFR with showers and a
few thunderstorms.
Wednesday...MVFR/IFR gradually improving back towards VFR from west
to east. Diminishing chances for showers and thunderstorms across
the western terminals.
Wednesday night through Friday...Mainly VFR with a chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Localized lower flight CATs within any heavier
showers or storms.
Saturday...Mainly VFR. Dry weather.
&&
.MARINE...
High pressure off the Northeast coast will maintain light winds
today with local lake breeze circulations developing.
The passage of a weak low pressure wave will cause southerly
component winds to develop tonight and Wednesday with speeds
generally less than 15 knots with a light shop developing, but wave
heights will remain below 3 feet.
Light to modest west to southwesterly flow will then prevail
Wednesday night through this weekend, which may support marginal SCA
conditions at times.
The approach of several low pressure waves may generate a few
thunderstorms over the lakes at times this week. The most probable
timeframe for thunderstorms will be tonight into early Wednesday.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...None.
MARINE...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...TMA
AVIATION...TMA
MARINE...TMA
View a Different U.S. Forecast Discussion Location
(In alphabetical order by state)
|
|
|
|
