Cheektowaga, New York 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

747
FXUS61 KBUF 231722
AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
122 PM EDT Thu Apr 23 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes with this forecast update.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Wet weather returns Friday night and Saturday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Wet weather returns Friday night and Saturday.

A weak and dry backdoor cold front dropping across the region this
afternoon will set the stage for the weather starting Friday and
lasting into Saturday. A shortwave and associated weak surface low
will track across the aforementioned boundary and a period of rain
showers Friday night through Saturday. Guidance continues to suggest
the best coverage to spread across Western New York, with the
highest accumualations lying south of the NYS Thruway. The boundary
and system will then pull southeast towards eastern Pennsylvania
Saturday night.

Overall rainfall amounts will look to be between a half of an inch
to three-quarters of an inch south of Lake Ontario, with around a
tenth of an inch across the North Country.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
VFR conditions through tonight as high pressure drifts across the
region. Mid level clouds will increase late in the day for eastern
portions of the area, including KART but are expected to remain AOA
9k feet.

Outlook...

Friday...Mainly VFR with a low chance of afternoon showers.

Saturday...Restrictions likely with rain and showers.

Sunday and Monday...Mainly VFR.

Tuesday...Restrictions likely with rain showers.

&&

.MARINE...
Mainly light winds and minimal wave action on the lower Great Lakes
this afternoon.

A tightening pressure gradient will support strengthening east-
northeast winds Friday and Friday night, resulting in a light to
moderate chop on the west end of Lake Ontario. Winds will increase
to around 20 knots Saturday on the west end of Lake Ontario with
wave heights climbing up towards 5-6 ft, especially for the open
waters. A period of small craft headlines may be needed on the west
end of Lake Ontario nearshore waters during this time.

Weak high pressure will build across the lakes Sunday, supporting
winds to diminish back down to below small craft criteria.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...EAJ
AVIATION...TMA
MARINE...EAJ