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Cheektowaga, New York 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Cheektowaga NY
National Weather Service Forecast for: Cheektowaga NY
Issued by: National Weather Service Buffalo, NY
Updated: 3:57 pm EDT May 11, 2026
 
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: A slight chance of showers before 5pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 53. Northwest wind 8 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Slight Chance
Showers

Tonight

Tonight: Patchy frost after 2am.  Otherwise, mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming clear, with a low around 35. Northwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm  in the evening.
Decreasing
Clouds then
Patchy Frost
Tuesday

Tuesday: Areas of frost before 8am.  Otherwise, increasing clouds, with a high near 59. Light and variable wind.
Areas Frost
then
Increasing
Clouds
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Showers, mainly after 2am.  Low around 47. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Chance
Showers then
Showers
Wednesday

Wednesday: Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 5pm.  High near 62. Southwest wind 13 to 15 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Showers

Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. West wind 6 to 8 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Chance
Showers

Thursday

Thursday: A chance of showers before 2pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 55. Northwest wind around 7 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Chance
Showers

Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. Light northwest wind.
Mostly Cloudy

Friday

Friday: Partly sunny, with a high near 64.
Partly Sunny

Hi 53 °F Lo 35 °F Hi 59 °F Lo 47 °F Hi 62 °F Lo 44 °F Hi 55 °F Lo 44 °F Hi 64 °F

Hazardous Weather Outlook
Freeze Warning
 

This Afternoon
 
A slight chance of showers before 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 53. Northwest wind 8 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tonight
 
Patchy frost after 2am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming clear, with a low around 35. Northwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Tuesday
 
Areas of frost before 8am. Otherwise, increasing clouds, with a high near 59. Light and variable wind.
Tuesday Night
 
Showers, mainly after 2am. Low around 47. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Wednesday
 
Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 5pm. High near 62. Southwest wind 13 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. West wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
 
A chance of showers before 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 55. Northwest wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday Night
 
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. Light northwest wind.
Friday
 
Partly sunny, with a high near 64.
Friday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 48.
Saturday
 
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 69. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday Night
 
A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.
Sunday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 54.
Monday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 79.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Cheektowaga NY.

Weather Forecast Discussion
544
FXUS61 KBUF 111742
AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
142 PM EDT Mon May 11 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Frost Advisory and Freeze Warnings in effect tonight into Tuesday
morning.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Widespread frost tonight into Tuesday morning, with freeze
conditions across the Southern Tier and east of Lake Ontario.

2) Unsettled weather returns by the middle of the week with periods
of rain Tuesday night through Thursday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Widespread frost tonight into Tuesday morning, with
freeze conditions across the Southern Tier and east of Lake Ontario.

Surface high pressure centered over the central Great Lakes this
afternoon, will drift east overhead of the eastern Great Lakes
tonight into Tuesday morning. Meanwhile, the heart of the cold air
will push into the base of the longwave troughing pattern overhead
of New York State. Combination of the cold air, the surface high
overhead, light winds, and clear skies will support ample
radiational cooling tonight, supporting temperatures to plummet into
the low to mid 30s areawide, with upper 20s likely in the
climatologically colder Southern Tier Valley and Tug Hill region. As
a result, a Frost Advisory is in effect tonight for expected
widespread frost south of Lake Ontario. For the colder areas across
of the Southern Tier and the eastern Lake Ontario region, freeze
conditions are expected.

KEY MESSAGE 2...Unsettled weather returns by the middle of the week
with periods of rain Tuesday night through Thursday.

The next potent Pacific shortwave will dig southeast into the
longwave trough overhead of the Northeast by Thursday, resulting the
next period of unsettled weather Tuesday night through at least
Thursday night.

An area warm moist air will advect into the region Tuesday night,
supporting the development of widespread rain from west to east.
Widespread rain will last into Wednesday morning before a mid-level
dry slot pushes overhead of the eastern Great Lakes by the afternoon
hours and cause the activity to become of more of a showery nature.
Showers will then continue Wednesday night through Thursday night as
the mid-level trough and weak vertically stacked surface low will
cross the eastern Great Lakes due to increased ascent and moisture.

Model guidance continues to diverge on the timing of this system by
Friday, with the GFS suggesting a faster exit off the New England
coast, while the GEM and especially ECMWF show a slower progression
and lingering showers. The current forecast is mainly dry for our
area Friday, but this may change pending future model trends.

There is still some spread in model and ensemble guidance in total
rainfall amounts for the Tuesday night through Thursday night
period, but even the higher end of the guidance envelope does not
generate enough QPF for any flood concerns.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Widespread VFR conditions are expected to continue across the region
this afternoon. A few spotty showers are possible along a
convergence zone across the Niagara Frontier extending to the Finger
Lakes region.

High pressure will move overhead and dry weather and clear skies
will support widespread VFR conditions across the region tonight.

Outlook...

Tuesday...Mainly VFR.

Wednesday... MVFR/IFR with periods of rain. A few widely scattered
thunderstorms possible in the afternoon and evening.

Thursday...IFR/MVFR improving to MVFR/VFR with occasional showers.

Friday...Mainly VFR.

Saturday...Mainly VFR. Chance of showers.

&&

.MARINE...
WSW winds will increase on Lake Ontario this afternoon and evening,
with a light to moderate chop especially on the east half of the
lake. High pressure will build over the lower Great Lakes tonight,
with diminishing winds. Light winds will continue Tuesday as high
pressure drifts to the east coast.

Low pressure will then cross the upper Great Lakes Tuesday night,
reaching the lower Great Lakes Wednesday. Southeast winds will ramp
up ahead of this system later Tuesday night through Wednesday
morning, likely bringing a period of Small Craft Advisory conditions
to the east end of Lake Ontario. Winds will become more
southwesterly with time later Wednesday, with a moderate chop on
Lake Erie and Lake Ontario.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 9 AM EDT Tuesday for
     NYZ001>005-014.
     Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 9 AM EDT Tuesday for
     NYZ006>008-010>013-019>021-085.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...EAJ
AVIATION...HSK
MARINE...Hitchcock
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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