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Cheektowaga, New York 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Cheektowaga NY
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Cheektowaga NY
Issued by: National Weather Service Buffalo, NY |
| Updated: 1:58 am EDT Apr 3, 2026 |
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Overnight
Chance
Showers
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Friday
Chance
Showers and
Breezy
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Friday
Night
Mostly Cloudy
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Saturday
Showers
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Saturday
Night
Showers
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Sunday
Mostly Cloudy
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Sunday
Night
Mostly Cloudy
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Monday
Mostly Cloudy
then Chance
Rain/Snow
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Monday
Night
Chance
Rain/Snow
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| Lo 63 °F |
Hi 68 °F |
Lo 41 °F |
Hi 72 °F |
Lo 41 °F |
Hi 45 °F |
Lo 32 °F |
Hi 42 °F |
Lo 29 °F |
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Hazardous Weather Outlook
Overnight
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 63. South wind around 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Friday
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A chance of showers between noon and 2pm. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 68. Breezy, with a southwest wind 14 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. |
Friday Night
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Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. Southwest wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm in the evening. |
Saturday
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Showers likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 72. East wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Saturday Night
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Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 41. Southwest wind 8 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible. |
Sunday
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Mostly cloudy, with a high near 45. West wind 13 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph. |
Sunday Night
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Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. West wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. |
Monday
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A chance of rain and snow showers after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 42. West wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Monday Night
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A chance of rain and snow showers before 2am, then a chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. Chance of precipitation is 50%. |
Tuesday
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A chance of snow showers before 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 38. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Tuesday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 25. |
Wednesday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 51. |
Wednesday Night
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Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. |
Thursday
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A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 62. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Cheektowaga NY.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
897
FXUS61 KBUF 030617
AFDBUF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
217 AM EDT Fri Apr 3 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes for this update.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Risk of showers and a few thunderstorms today, but additional
flooding is not expected.
2) Windy today.
3) A round of showers with embedded thunderstorms with the
potenial for heavy rain and severe weather Saturday through
Sunday morning.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Risk of showers and a few thunderstorms today, but
additional flooding is not expected.
A warm front will lift across the region this morning with a weak
cold front pushing through this afternoon. Scattered showers and a
few thunderstorms will be possible with both features today.
Marginal instability will limit the threat of severe weather. Any
addtional flooding concerns unlikely with basin average rainfall
amounts generally under a quarter inch.
KEY MESSAGE 2...Windy today.
A strong low level jet of 55 to 65 knots will be overhead this
morning. Stable temperature profiles will prevent the strongest
winds aloft from mixing to the surface, but south/southeast winds
may gust to 40-50 mph across the higher terrain and favored
downslope areas this morning. The strongest gusts will be along
the Lake Erie shoreline of Chautauqua county and within the
Black River Valley east of Lake Ontario. The low level jet will
weaken today, but better mixing will develop by mid day and this
afternoon. This will allow for a period of stronger
southwesterly gusts to 40-45 mph downwind of Lake Erie.
KEY MESSAGE 3...A round of showers with embedded thunderstorms with
the potenial for heavy rain and severe weather Saturday through
Sunday morning.
A cold front will move into the eastern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley
Saturday. Ahead of the cold front the region will be within the warm
sector. Some cloud cover may exist early in the day, but a gradual
increase in low level moisture and surface heating in cloud breaks
will support weak diurnal instability. Favorable shear profiles will
support the risk for severe thunderstorms, with the main threat
being damaging winds and isolated hail. Precipitable water values
near 1.25 inches will support the potential for localized heavy
rainfall.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A warm front will lift across our region today, bringing a return to
widespread MVFR ceiling heights, along with chance for a few rain
showers and thunderstorms. Greatest chances for thunder will be near
the Southern Tier and east of the Genesee Valley through the morning
hours, then across the Southern Tier this afternoon along a lake
breeze boundary.
Low level wind shear will continue across the TAF region until the
mid-morning hours when mixing heights increase and surface winds
become sufficiently gusty. LLJ of 50 knots will have a base between
1K and 1.5K feet.
A cold front will slice across the region this early evening.
Southwest winds will quickly veer to northwest to northerly across
the TAF region. Mainly dry tonight, though a few rain showers may
reach the western Southern Tier by daybreak Saturday.
Outlook...
Saturday through Sunday...Periods of rain with non-VFR flight
conditions are expected. Scattered thunderstorms are also possible
through Saturday night.
Sunday night through Tuesday...MVFR/VFR with a chance of snow
showers...with IFR possible in areas of lake effect snow showers
east/southeast of the lakes.
&&
.MARINE...
The passage of a warm front will bring elevated southerly winds
early this morning, maintaining SCA conditions on both Lake Erie and
Lake Ontario. Elevated southwesterlies will follow from mid morning
through this afternoon, continuing the SCA conditions.
The next period of concern will be Saturday night into Monday, as a
cold front ushers in west winds of 20 to 25 knots. A Small Craft
Advisory will likely be needed during this time period.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
Several creeks and rivers remain in flood, including the Tonawanda
Creek, Black Creek at Churchville, and the Black River. These
slower responding waterways will remain in flood through today
or into tonight.
The Oatka Creek at Garbutt dropped below flood stage Thursday
evening.
Low pressure and its associated warm and cold fronts will bring
additional moderate to possibly heavy showers and thunderstorms
Saturday, and especially Saturday night. There will be a low
risk for additional flooding due to our still nearly-saturated
ground conditions.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM this morning to 5 PM EDT this
afternoon for LEZ020.
Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EDT this afternoon for
LEZ040-041.
Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for
LOZ042-043.
Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for
LOZ044-045.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...TMA
AVIATION...Thomas
MARINE...TMA
HYDROLOGY...TMA
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