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Cheektowaga, New York 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Cheektowaga NY
National Weather Service Forecast for: Cheektowaga NY
Issued by: National Weather Service Buffalo, NY
Updated: 12:06 am EDT Apr 26, 2025
 
Overnight

Overnight: Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 5am.  Low around 49. Light southwest wind.  Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Showers

Saturday

Saturday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then a slight chance of showers after 5pm.  Cloudy, with a high near 53. West wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Chance
Showers
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: A slight chance of showers before 11pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. Northwest wind 11 to 16 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Slight Chance
Showers then
Mostly Cloudy
Sunday

Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 59. Northwest wind around 10 mph.
Sunny

Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 39. South wind around 6 mph.
Mostly Clear

Monday

Monday: Sunny, with a high near 68. Southwest wind around 6 mph.
Sunny

Monday
Night
Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 54. Light south wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the evening.
Mostly Clear

Tuesday

Tuesday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly after 4pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 75. Southwest wind 13 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Partly Sunny
then Showers
Likely
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 10pm, then a chance of showers between 10pm and 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. Breezy.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Showers
Likely and
Breezy
Lo 49 °F Hi 53 °F Lo 39 °F Hi 59 °F Lo 39 °F Hi 68 °F Lo 54 °F Hi 75 °F Lo 45 °F

 

Overnight
 
Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 5am. Low around 49. Light southwest wind. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then a slight chance of showers after 5pm. Cloudy, with a high near 53. West wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday Night
 
A slight chance of showers before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. Northwest wind 11 to 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Sunday
 
Sunny, with a high near 59. Northwest wind around 10 mph.
Sunday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 39. South wind around 6 mph.
Monday
 
Sunny, with a high near 68. Southwest wind around 6 mph.
Monday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 54. Light south wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the evening.
Tuesday
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly after 4pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 75. Southwest wind 13 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Tuesday Night
 
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 10pm, then a chance of showers between 10pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Wednesday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 58.
Wednesday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 41.
Thursday
 
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 66. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday Night
 
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday
 
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 60. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Cheektowaga NY.

Weather Forecast Discussion
650
FXUS61 KBUF 252342
AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
742 PM EDT Fri Apr 25 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure consolidating over Lower Michigan this evening will
pass over our region overnight...producing widespread showers and
possibly a few thunderstorms in the process. The shower activity
will taper off from west to east on Saturday...as the area of low
pressure will exit across New England. Unfortunately...unsettled
conditions will persist east of Lake Ontario through at least
Saturday night. High pressure over the Upper Great Lakes on Sunday
will provide a wealth of sunshine over the western counties with
gradual improvement further east.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
There will be a brief lull in the shower activity this evening
behind the initial wave of showers. A second more robust shortwave
will then push a consolidating area of low pressure from Lower
Michigan across our forecast. This will support a second round of
fairly widespread showers and possible thunderstorms over our
region...especially across the western Southern Tier...Finger Lakes
and Eastern Lake Ontario regions where a quarter to a half inch of
rain could fall. While this will result in a noticeable rise in area
tributaries...no issues are anticipated on the larger streams/rivers.

Strong shortwave energy rounding the base of a digging trough over
southern Ontario will `capture` the sfc low over the St Lawrence
valley and slow its exit to the east. While the bulk of the mid
level energy will be stripped away over our region in the process...
significant hgt falls and a wealth of leftover low level moisture
will retard the dissipation of the morning showers. In fact...
showers will persist through the day into Saturday night for areas
east of Lake Ontario.

Temperatures on Saturday will be a solid 10 to 15 degrees lower than
those from today (Fri)...as highs in most areas will only be in the
mid to upper 50s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
A slower departure of a mid level trough Sunday will linger rain
showers, perhaps mixed with wet snowflakes, east of Lake Ontario
through the morning, before drier air and improving conditions from
the west advances eastward. Clear skies and light winds Sunday night
with passage of a surface ridge will allow for temperatures to drop
towards freezing east of Lake Ontario.

Mainly clear starlit skies will be in place Sunday night...as high
pressure will cross the region. Milder and dry Monday and Monday
night on the backside of the surface high.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
An active day is becoming more likely for Tuesday as deep southerly
flow ushers in a moisture rich airmass and instability that coupled
with a strong LLJ will bring favorable conditions for at least
locally strong thunderstorms.

Still a little timing uncertainty among the model guidance, mainly
as to how much sunshine/ rain showers will be around in the morning
hours. Siding with the NBM as well as the 12Z Canadian and 12Z ECMWF
much of Tuesday morning should be dry before storms erupt during the
afternoon and evening hours. PWAT values rising to over an inch
along with daytime temperatures in the mid 70s to mid 80s will
create SBCAPE values over 1K J/KG. A strengthening LLJ to 50-55 knots
running parallel to the cold front will favor linear structures to
thunderstorms, while increasing CAPE in the mid levels will also
favor the formation of hail in stronger storms.

Afternoon and evening timing on the storms within a prefrontal
trough, with a breezy westerly to northwesterly wind through
Wednesday behind the passage of a cold front Tuesday night.

Mainly dry conditions Wednesday through at least Thursday morning,
though a secondary cold front may clip the North Country with a few
showers Wednesday. Returning moisture ahead of the mid level trough
will return unsettled weather Thursday afternoon through Friday.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A brief lull behind the initial wave of showers will support mainly
VFR cigs this evening. After that...the next round of showers,
possibly with a few embedded rumbles of thunder will arrive
tonight. VFR cigs will deteriorate overnight to MVFR then
eventually to IFR to LIFR levels.

Most areas will experience MVFR cigs on Saturday.

Outlook...

Sunday...VFR, but morning MVFR cigs and scattered showers east of
Lake Ontario.
Monday...VFR.
Tuesday...VFR with afternoon showers and thunderstorms.
Wednesday...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
Low pressure will move from the central Great Lakes to just north of
the lower Great Lakes tonight through early Saturday. East winds
will increase today on Lake Ontario ahead of this system with choppy
conditions developing.

Conditions approaching Small Craft Advisory are more likely Saturday
through Saturday night behind the cold front, especially on Lake
Ontario.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...RSH
NEAR TERM...AR/RSH
SHORT TERM...Thomas
LONG TERM...Thomas
AVIATION...AR/RSH
MARINE...AR/TMA
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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