Cheektowaga, New York 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

298
FXUS61 KBUF 070628
AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
228 AM EDT Sun Jun 7 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes with this forecast package.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Increasing heat this week. Heat indices could reach the mid 90s
by the end of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Increasing heat this week. Heat indices could reach
the mid 90s by the end of next week.

After a comfortable day today, an upper level ridge will build
across the region Monday and Tuesday, as surface high pressure
drifts to the east coast. This will support a warming trend, with
temperatures reaching the 80s Monday and nearing 90F by Tuesday.
Humidity levels early in the week look to stay low enough to
keep these readings from feeling oppressive. Temperatures for
the rest of the week will remain in the 80s to around 90F, but
increasing humidity will bring the potential for heat index
values reaching the lower to mid 90s by Thursday and Friday,
with the warmest readings across portions of the Genesee Valley
and western Finger Lakes.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Lingering moisture and cyclonic flow may produce widely scattered
showers across the North Country (KART) today, with dry conditions
expected elsewhere through the TAF period.

In terms of flight conditions, there is fairly high confidence that
the North Country will see a period of MVFR ceilings (with patchy
IFR ceilings across the higher terrain) through at least the
early afternoon, with building surface ridge then bringing VFR
conditions this afternoon and evening.

Elsewhere, nocturnal cooling/lingering low level moisture may
lead to a period of some patchy IFR/MVFR early this morning,
though the extent of this remains questionable. Potential for
this looks to be greatest across the higher terrain of the
Southern Tier and Finger Lakes, though cannot rule out some
lower ceilings making it into KBUF/KROC for a brief period early
this morning. Whatever stratus/fog does form will give way to
VFR conditions today as ridge builds in and diurnal heating/mixing
helps to mix out the low level moisture.

Outlook...

Tonight...Mainly VFR.

Monday and Tuesday...VFR.

Wednesday and Thursday...Mainly VFR with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Localized lower flight CATs within any heavier
showers or storms.

&&

.MARINE...
High pressure building into the lower Great Lakes will maintain
quiet conditions today through early next week, with generally light
to modest winds and minimal waves.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...TMA
AVIATION...TMA
MARINE...TMA