Cheektowaga, New York 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

639
FXUS61 KBUF 150656
AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
256 AM EDT Wed Jul 15 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Continued the trend to lower maximum temperatures today and
Thursday.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) It will be another warm day today, with temperatures trending
lower into the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Key Message 1...It will be another warm day today, with temperatures
trending lower into the weekend.

An upper level trough over eastern Canada will move south today,
displacing a strong ridge over the eastern Great Lakes region. A
cold front will move across the forecast area this morning, with
cooler air filtering in from north to south. This afternoon, 850mb
temperatures will fall into the mid teens across the eastern Lake
Ontario region and the upper teens across western NY. Dewpoints will
also be much lower during peak heating, resulting in more
comfortable weather today. Another factor to the temperature
forecast today is a west-northwest flow will allow smoke from
Canadian wildfires to move into the eastern Great Lakes today.
Lowered maximum temperatures from NBM guidance today. A few showers
are possible (~10%) across western NY this afternoon, though most
areas will remain dry. Smoke is expected to linger across the area
through at least Thursday.

As the upper level trough deepens across the Great Lakes region,
cooler temperatures aloft will move into the forecast area,
resulting in a day to day cooling trend into the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
MVFR visibility is possible across the North Country as wildfire
smoke begins to infiltrate the area this morning. Strong
thunderstorms are expected to stay north of KART/KGTB. VFR will
continue across western NY through the morning hours.

Smoke from wildfires in Canada will spread southward across the
region through tonight. Smoke will contribute to hazy skies with
some smoke near the surface. Patchy to areas of MVFR visibility are
possible across the western NY terminals. VFR conditions expected
elsewhere.

Outlook...

Thursday...Mainly VFR, smoke possible.

Friday through Sunday...Mainly VFR. A chance of showers or a
thunderstorm.

&&

.MARINE...
West-southwest winds will diminish on the Lakes through the morning.
Small Craft Advisories will come to an end through mid-morning.

A light west-northwest wind will persist on the Lakes through
tonight. Westerly winds will freshen on the Lakes Thursday and a
short period of Small Craft Conditions are possible on the eastern
end of Lake Ontario.

Smoke from Canadian wildfires may result in periods of reduced
visibility on the Lakes through mid-week.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Air Quality Alert until midnight EDT tonight for NYZ001>007-
     010>014-019>021-085.
     Beach Hazards Statement until 11 AM EDT this morning for
     NYZ005>007.
     Beach Hazards Statement until 4 AM EDT early this morning for
     NYZ010-085.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT early this morning for
         LEZ040-041.
         Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT early this
         morning for LOZ042.
         Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for
         LOZ043.
         Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for
         LOZ044-045.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...HSK
AVIATION...HSK
MARINE...HSK