Cheektowaga, New York 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

989
FXUS61 KBUF 190221
AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1021 PM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
The severe thunderstorm watch has been cancelled.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Canadian wildfire smoke will linger across portions of western
New York through Sunday.

2) Shower and thunderstorm chances increase Tuesday and Wednesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Key Message 1...Canadian wildfire smoke will linger across portions
of western New York through Sunday.

Smoke for Canadian wildfires will continue linger across western
New York through Sunday. Latest HRRR showing the highest
concentration of near-surface smoke holding over western New York
through Sunday. Air Quality Alerts remain in effect.

Key Message 2...Shower and thunderstorm chances increase Tuesday and
Wednesday.

A mid-level trough and cold front approach the region by Tuesday.
This will bring an increasing risk of showers and thunderstorms.
SPC has the western Southern Tier in a 15 percent day 4 severe risk.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Scattered showers overnight as secondary cold front moves through.
Some patchy smoke is still possible. Fairly good confidence that a
MVFR deck overnight for most terminals. Northwest winds of 10-20
knots will lessen overnight.

Outlook...

Sunday and Monday...Fair weather and VFR expected. Lingering smoke
possible.

Monday night and Tuesday...Restrictions likely in periodic showers
and thunderstorms.

Wednesday...Restrictions possible with lingering showers.

Thursday...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
West and northwest winds will continue tonight behind the passage of
a cold front. Small craft headlines will remain in effect for Lake
Ontario overnight, with choppy conditions expected on Lake Erie.

High pressure builds in Sunday and persists through Monday with
winds and waves subsiding.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Air Quality Alert until midnight EDT Sunday night for NYZ001-
     002-010>014-019>021-085.
     Beach Hazards Statement until 4 AM EDT Sunday for NYZ002-007.
     Beach Hazards Statement until 6 AM EDT Sunday for NYZ003>006.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Sunday for LOZ042-045.
         Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT Sunday for LOZ043-044.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...TMA
AVIATION...TMA
MARINE...TMA