Cheektowaga, New York 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

649
FXUS61 KBUF 270517
AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
117 AM EDT Sat Jun 27 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Lowered overnight lows for tonight and Sunday night due an ideal
radiational cooling set up.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Hot and humid weather likely next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Hot and humid weather likely next week.

Mid to upper level ridging will begin to build across the Great
Lakes this weekend, bringing a major pattern change to the area.
This ridge will amplify and intensify as it reaches the eastern
CONUS throughout next week. As heights build to around 596 dm next
week across the Ohio Valley, a hot and humid air mass will push into
western and north central New York, resulting in the potential for
multiple days of 90+ degree weather and even hotter heat indices
from Tuesday through Friday. This being said, heat-related headlines
will be likely during this period, especially as the likelihood for
dangerous heat indices increase. Some relief from the heat is
possible during the mid week period with the potential for showers
and thunderstorms, but predictability is too low at this forecast
range.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Clouds are tough to clear across the Southern Tier and eastern Lake
Ontario region early this morning. Forecast trend, continue to hint
at these clouds to clear, which if this happens and combined with
the weak calm winds will allow for ample radiational cooling. Ample
low level moisture, and radiational cooling will support increased
chances for fog this morning. MVFR level fog is expected for most
locations, but there will be a window for IFR fog just before
sunrise from 4-6 am. Low stratus may also accompany dense fog, or if
weak winds hold on, low stratus could develop instead of fog.

A stationary front well to the south of the area today, will allow
for a wave of low pressure to ride along the front supporting clouds
to across the NY/PA border today, before clearing out tonight. VFR
conditions are expected with ceilings 3-5k feet across the western
Southern Tier.

Outlook...

Sunday through Tuesday...Mainly VFR.

Wednesday...Mostly VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
Weak pressure gradient in place as surface high pressure builds
into and across the lower Great Lakes this weekend and through much
of next week. Daily lake breeze circulations are favored this
weekend into early next week, with a more south to southwest flow
favored by the middle of next week.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...EAJ
AVIATION...EAJ
MARINE...EAJ